Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ALGO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.105318 0.114105 0.123486 0.134283 0.146406 0.159649 0.175273
2024-10-06 0.092687 0.105100 0.119215 0.136596 0.157618 0.182477 0.214487
2024-10-13 0.081261 0.094941 0.111166 0.132094 0.158775 0.192222 0.238263
2024-10-20 0.072902 0.087107 0.104498 0.127753 0.158665 0.199298 0.258457
2024-10-27 0.066634 0.081082 0.099239 0.124258 0.158715 0.205915 0.278162
2024-11-03 0.064842 0.080455 0.100635 0.129370 0.170542 0.229654 0.325604
2024-11-10 0.063745 0.080549 0.102852 0.135626 0.184437 0.257888 0.384543
2024-11-17 0.060844 0.077956 0.101134 0.136036 0.189628 0.273389 0.425243
2024-11-24 0.057541 0.074564 0.098009 0.134039 0.190804 0.282454 0.456083
2024-12-01 0.054339 0.071104 0.094527 0.131167 0.190219 0.288373 0.481949
2024-12-08 0.051073 0.067364 0.090397 0.126961 0.187020 0.289341 0.498271
2024-12-15 0.048896 0.065066 0.088231 0.125616 0.188362 0.298333 0.532201
2024-12-22 0.046910 0.063071 0.086585 0.125281 0.191924 0.312822 0.583251
2024-12-29 0.045596 0.062011 0.086309 0.127185 0.199689 0.336588 0.661861
2025-01-05 0.042963 0.058837 0.082581 0.123068 0.196205 0.337826 0.687685
2025-01-12 0.040587 0.055934 0.079110 0.119120 0.192624 0.338353 0.711968
2025-01-19 0.038569 0.053481 0.076214 0.115940 0.190164 0.340865 0.742243
2025-01-26 0.038371 0.053814 0.077766 0.120588 0.203175 0.378669 0.882524
2025-02-02 0.038367 0.054437 0.079812 0.126269 0.218929 0.425800 1.072175
2025-02-09 0.037333 0.053371 0.078993 0.126641 0.223832 0.448239 1.192492
2025-02-16 0.035967 0.051711 0.077082 0.124828 0.223906 0.458716 1.275348
2025-02-23 0.034545 0.049902 0.074834 0.122221 0.221997 0.463817 1.340607
2025-03-02 0.032996 0.047830 0.072041 0.118398 0.217064 0.460226 1.370248